Measuring AI Impact on Experienced Developers

“Surprisingly, we find that when developers use AI tools, they take 19% longer than without—AI makes them slower.” Link

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Interesting Kaddle Competition

Markets don’t always stick to the plan. Like a sudden shift in the weather, price swings can throw off even the best predictions. Investors and businesses need models that can keep up, but many struggle to adapt when past trends no longer apply.

In this Kaddle competition, you’ll develop an ML model to predict commodity prices using historical data from LME, JPX, US Stock, and Forex markets. The challenge is creating a model that stays accurate even as conditions change. Total Prizes: $100,000. Entry Deadline: Sep 29, 2025. Learn more

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Meta-Decision Support

Adam DeJans Jr.: “What if we treated the design of metrics, thresholds, and goals as decisions that need feedback loops and learning just like any other policy? That’s where I think the future lies. Meta-decision support: helping leaders choose what problems to define, what metrics to use, and how to revise those as the environment changes.Link

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Writing is thinking

This article discusses the value of human-generated scientific writing in the age of LLMs. “Writing compels us to think — not in the chaotic, non-linear way our minds typically wander, but in a structured, intentional manner. By writing it down, we can sort years of research, data and analysis into an actual story, thereby identifying our main message and the influence of our work.Link

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A call for AI substance not for more hype

Today Stéphane Dalbera posted such a call: “… in the case of LLMs, too often the discourse remains high-level and aspirational. Demos abound, wow effect, but operational insights remain scarce. For a field that claims to redefine productivity, creativity, and even human reasoning itself, the lack of grounded, transparent, and reproducible narratives is troubling.” Interesting quotes provided in comments by Vincent Lextrait: Link

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“Decision Intelligence is AI for Grownups”

This phrase is often used to highlight how Decision Intelligence (DI) represents a more mature, pragmatic, and business-focused application of artificial intelligence. I asked Copilot why some people describe DI that way. See the answers at https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7352416233801060352/

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Is what photography did to painting similar to what AI does to software development? 

Google this question and see different answers. “This industry, by invading the territory of art, has become art’s most mortal enemy.” Was this quote said in 1859 about photography by Charles Baudelaire or in 2025 about AI art by somebody else? Read “Photography was historically considered art’s most mortal enemy. Is AI?” by Lizzy Larson.

One of the answers was published yesterday by a fine art photographer, Craig Boehman, and is called “In Defense of AI Art: History Repeats Itself, Again, Again, and Again“: The “anyone can do it” and “it will put people out of work” arguments. And has painting been superseded by photography? What nonsense. Check the auction houses. Paintings go for hundreds of millions of dollars and a mere photo has yet to reach 10 million. And there are very few cases of photos being valued this high. Naturally, value isn’t the only way to judge an art form. But there is no evidence whatsoever that photography has overtaken painting.

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The Rise of Small Language Models (SLMs)

Specialized small language models (SLMs) can outperform large, generalist models. Want to learn how? Read Armand Ruiz’s post on LinkedIn: “Inference is cheaper. Iteration is faster. Fine-tuning takes hours, not weeks. SLMs can run locally, privately, and securely and no datacenter needed“. See the related research paper stating that “SLMs are sufficiently powerful, inherently more suitable, and necessarily more economical for many invocations in agentic systems, and are therefore the future of agentic AI“.

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Smart orgs don’t chase models.They build decision systems.

This is a quote from Adam DeJans Jr. It is right to the point and should be shown completely: “Most AI systems can tell you what happened. Very few can tell you why. And almost none can tell you what to do next.

Yet we keep handing over high-stakes decisions (hiring, sentencing, pricing, credit scoring) to algorithms built to detect patterns, not understand them.

Here’s the problem:

AI is great at perception (seeing, hearing, translating), but in prediction tasks involving humans, the cracks start to show.

What people forget is that:
→ Accuracy ≠ value
→ A forecast ≠ a decision
→ Probabilities ≠ understanding
→ Correlation ≠ causation

If you’re using AI to replace judgment rather than support it, you’re not modern, you’re reckless.

Smart orgs don’t chase models. They build decision systems.
Link

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AI Aphorisms

Bruno Levy decided to share short sentences related to the conditions of possibility for AI reasoning and human-AI collaboration. Here is his first aphorism:

True reasoning is not a function of knowing everything, but a function of being structurally immune to believing the wrong thing.” Link

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